Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes Prediction

Match prediction

• Tristan Suarez's perfect defensive score and 21 clean sheets underpin the low-scoring, draw-heavy profile behind the double chance and under 3.5 goals advice.
• Quilmes' away form is starkly weak, with one away win and ten away defeats, supporting the model's heavy discount of an away victory.
• The head-to-head record leans toward Tristan Suarez and features repeated low-scoring results, reinforcing rather than contradicting the cautious goal line.
• Both attacks rate identically, so the edge comes from defence and form rather than superior scoring, explaining why the draw carries equal probability to a home win.
• Tristan Suarez's recent run of clean sheets and low-scoring draws suggests the match may stay tight, aligning with the under 3.5 goals component.
• Quilmes' away scoring average is notably low, which strengthens the case for few goals despite their occasional home wins.

Predicted winner

Tristan Suarez

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Tristan Suarez or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Quilmes 0–1 Tristan Suarez (17 May 2026)
2. Quilmes 0–1 Tristan Suarez (04 Oct 2025)
3. Tristan Suarez 0–0 Quilmes (31 May 2025)
4. Quilmes 0–1 Tristan Suarez (02 Sep 2024)
5. Tristan Suarez 1–3 Quilmes (14 Apr 2024)