Romania · Liga III - Serie 2

Tricolorul Breaza vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung Prediction

Tricolorul Breaza badgeTricolorul Breaza vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung badgeARO Muscelul Câmpulung

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split reflects ARO Muscelul's unbeaten but draw-heavy profile against a Tricolorul side without a win.
  • Tricolorul's five defeats in six, including a 5-1 loss, justify the low 10% home probability despite occasional clean sheets.
  • ARO Muscelul's four draws in six and failure to keep any clean sheet explain why the advice hedges with double chance rather than a straight away win.
  • The head-to-head record splits evenly across four meetings, weakening any claim of a decisive away edge and supporting the draw component.
  • Tricolorul's attack averages just 0.80 goals per game, suggesting their scoring ceiling is too low to overturn the model's away-leaning probabilities.
  • ARO Muscelul's 1.80 goals per game and 2.30 home average indicate attacking output, though their 1.80 goals-against average keeps the draw plausible.
Predicted winner
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorTricolorul BreazaARO Muscelul Câmpulung
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson12.0%88.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total35.2%64.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Tricolorul Breaza

Recent form: LLLLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung

Recent form: WDLDDD.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tricolorul Breaza 2–1 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung (11 May 2024)
  2. ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 2–0 Tricolorul Breaza (12 Apr 2024)
  3. ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 2–0 Tricolorul Breaza (03 Nov 2023)
  4. Tricolorul Breaza 2–0 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung (02 Sep 2023)
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