Trelleborg W vs Elfsborg W Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Elfsborg's stronger form, attack, and Poisson ratings conflict with Trelleborg's head-to-head and goals dominance, explaining why no outright winner is advised.
- Elfsborg's exceptional defensive record of only ten goals conceded in twenty games undercuts Trelleborg's attacking case and supports covering the draw.
- Trelleborg's recent five matches include two scoreless draws and a heavy defeat, weakening confidence in a home win despite the favourable head-to-head history.
- Both prior 2026 and 2025 meetings ended level, reinforcing the draw component of the double chance as the safer half of the advice.
- Trelleborg's tendency toward low-scoring games, with seventeen of twenty under 2.5 goals, suggests a tight contest where the draw remains live.
- Predicted winner
- Trelleborg W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Trelleborg W or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Trelleborg W | Elfsborg W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Trelleborg W
Recent form: WWLLWLWWWLDDDWLLDDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Elfsborg W
Recent form: WWWDWWWWDDWDWWLWDWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Elfsborg W 0–0 Trelleborg W (01 Aug 2026)
- Elfsborg W 2–2 Trelleborg W (30 Aug 2025)
- Trelleborg W 3–1 Elfsborg W (04 May 2025)


