Trelleborg vs Angelholms FF Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Trelleborg as the winner, with a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability leaving Angelholms FF at 0%, so the advice is effectively a cautious home lean rather than an overwhelming one. That caution is somewhat at odds with the comparison metrics, where Trelleborg dominate form (92 versus 8), attack (83 versus 17), defence (65 versus 35), Poisson (68 versus 32), head-to-head (88 versus 13), goals (80 versus 20) and total (79.3 versus 20.8). The team analysis supports that dominance: Trelleborg have 14 wins, 6 draws and only 3 losses from 23 matches, including 8 away wins, while Angelholms have just 3 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses, with a seven-match losing streak in their form string. Trelleborg's attacking output is also more reliable, averaging 2.10 goals per game and failing to score in only 2 of 23 matches, whereas Angelholms average 1.20 and have failed to score 9 times. Defensively the gap persists, with Trelleborg conceding 1.20 per game and keeping 6 clean sheets against Angelholms' 1.90 conceded and only 2 clean sheets. The last-five records reinforce the same direction, as Trelleborg have won four of five including a 4-3 away win at Rosengård, while Angelholms have lost four of five and failed to score in all four defeats. The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal, with Trelleborg winning 5-1 away at Angelholms in April 2026, although the two 2016 Superettan meetings produced a Trelleborg win and a draw, so the sample is small and partly dated. The goals analysis adds nuance rather than contradiction, showing Trelleborg scoring 49 goals and conceding 27, against Angelholms' 27 scored and 43 conceded, which explains the lopsided comparison but also hints that Trelleborg's matches are not always low-scoring. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the Trelleborg winner advice, but the 50% draw probability and the absence of an under-over call mean the model is not treating the outcome as certain.

Predicted winner

Trelleborg

Betting advice

Winner : Trelleborg

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Angelholms FF 1–5 Trelleborg (03 Apr 2026)
2. Angelholms FF 1–1 Trelleborg (20 Aug 2016)
3. Trelleborg 2–0 Angelholms FF (12 Jun 2016)