Ireland · First Division

Treaty United vs UCD Prediction

· Markets Field

Treaty United badgeTreaty United vs UCD badgeUCD

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% UCD split makes double chance the logical expression of its near-even two-way lean.
  • UCD's superior attack and defence ratings, plus a 60% head-to-head edge, justify favouring them over Treaty despite identical draw and away probabilities.
  • Treaty's stronger recent form rating conflicts with their weak attack and leaky defence, suggesting form is a poor guide here.
  • UCD's away form is volatile, including a 6-0 loss and a 5-4 win, which supports the draw leg of the double chance.
  • Treaty's low scoring average and UCD's tendency for high-scoring away games point to an open contest rather than a controlled one.
  • Recent head-to-head results favour UCD away at Markets Field, reinforcing the away side of the double chance.
Predicted winner
UCD
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or UCD
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorTreaty UnitedUCD
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence68.0%32.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2h40.0%60.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total46.0%54.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Treaty United

Recent form: LLLDDWLDLDLDWDWLLLDLDWWWLWLDLLWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

UCD

Recent form: WLWDLLWWDDWWWWLLLWWLWLLWDLWDWDDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. UCD 1–2 Treaty United (03 Aug 2026)
  2. Treaty United 1–2 UCD (17 Jul 2026)
  3. Treaty United 0–3 UCD (24 Apr 2026)
  4. UCD 2–0 Treaty United (27 Feb 2026)
  5. Treaty United 1–0 UCD (05 Sep 2025)
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