Trastevere vs Città di Anagni Prediction
Match prediction
- Trastevere's superior recent form and perfect head-to-head record support the double-chance advice, though the draw probability equal to the home win tempers outright confidence.
- Both attacks and defences rate evenly, so the model's split between home win and draw reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Città di Anagni's three losses in five, including heavy home defeats, weaken their case despite a strong 4-0 win last time out.
- Trastevere's defensive vulnerability, conceding 3.5 goals per home game including a 1-6 loss, justifies pairing the double chance with over 1.5 goals.
- Both teams average two goals conceded and rarely keep clean sheets, making the +1.5 goals component the most secure part of the advice.
- The head-to-head sample is only two matches from 2019, so it supports but cannot strongly validate the home-leaning prediction.
- Predicted winner
- Trastevere
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Trastevere or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Trastevere | Città di Anagni |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Trastevere
Recent form: WWDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Città di Anagni
Recent form: LLLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Trastevere 3–1 Città di Anagni (01 Mar 2020)
- Città di Anagni 0–1 Trastevere (27 Oct 2019)


