Italy · Serie D - Girone G

Trastevere vs Città di Anagni Prediction

Trastevere badgeTrastevere vs Città di Anagni badgeCittà di Anagni

Match prediction

  • Trastevere's superior recent form and perfect head-to-head record support the double-chance advice, though the draw probability equal to the home win tempers outright confidence.
  • Both attacks and defences rate evenly, so the model's split between home win and draw reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
  • Città di Anagni's three losses in five, including heavy home defeats, weaken their case despite a strong 4-0 win last time out.
  • Trastevere's defensive vulnerability, conceding 3.5 goals per home game including a 1-6 loss, justifies pairing the double chance with over 1.5 goals.
  • Both teams average two goals conceded and rarely keep clean sheets, making the +1.5 goals component the most secure part of the advice.
  • The head-to-head sample is only two matches from 2019, so it supports but cannot strongly validate the home-leaning prediction.
Predicted winner
Trastevere
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Trastevere or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorTrastevereCittà di Anagni
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson33.0%67.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total55.8%44.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Trastevere

Recent form: WWDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Città di Anagni

Recent form: LLLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Trastevere 3–1 Città di Anagni (01 Mar 2020)
  2. Città di Anagni 0–1 Trastevere (27 Oct 2019)
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