Liga III - Serie 8 · Romania
Transilvania Sport Academy vs Unirea Dej Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Unirea Dej with a "win or draw" call and a combined draw-or-away plus over 1.5 goals advice, supported by probabilities of 45% draw, 45% away and only 10% home, so the home side is treated as a clear outsider. That view is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Unirea Dej holds a 100.00 form score against Transilvania's 0.00, a 65.00 to 35.00 defensive edge, and the same 65.00 to 35.00 split in the Poisson measure, while attack is level at 50.00 each. The team analysis explains the form gap: Transilvania have lost all five matches (LLLLL) with no clean sheets and a 7-1 away defeat among their results, whereas Unirea Dej are LLWLL with one win, one clean sheet and a 0-3 away victory. Their goal profiles point in different directions, though, since Transilvania average 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded per game, and Unirea Dej also average 0.80 scored but a lower 2.20 conceded, suggesting the away side is less leaky rather than more prolific. The last-five records confirm that pattern, with Transilvania conceding 20 goals across five defeats including 7-1 and 5-0 losses, while Unirea Dej conceded 11 in five games and scored only four, three of them in the single win over Academica Recea. This makes the +1.5 goals element of the advice look reasonably grounded, because both teams have been involved in high-scoring games, yet Unirea Dej's own scoring output is thin and three of their five matches saw them fail to score. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either support or challenge the model's lean, and the goals-by-minute breakdowns are also unavailable, leaving the timing of goals unexplained. Overall, the evidence consistently favours Unirea Dej avoiding defeat against a winless, heavily conceding home side, but the small five-match samples and Unirea Dej's own modest attack mean the draw component of the double chance carries much of the weight.
- Predicted winner
- Unirea Dej
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Unirea Dej and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Transilvania Sport Academy | Unirea Dej |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Poisson | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Transilvania Sport Academy
Recent form: LLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Unirea Dej
Recent form: LLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


