Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities, with only 10% for Esteghlal, justify the double-chance advice despite Tractor Sazi's recent back-to-back league defeats.
• Both attacks and defences rate identically at 50, so the edge comes from Tractor Sazi's superior form and head-to-head record rather than any clear quality gap.
• Tractor Sazi's 71% head-to-head score and 67% goals comparison tilt the matchup, though Esteghlal's unbeaten seven-match form and three draws show resilience.
• Every under-2.5 market across both teams' goal data shows seven unders from seven, strongly supporting the -2.5 goals component of the advice.
• Both sides average just 0.10 goals against and keep six clean sheets each, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation while limiting either team's win certainty.
• Tractor Sazi's perfect home record of three wins without conceding supports the home-or-draw lean, but Esteghlal's away clean sheets suggest the draw probability is well placed.

Predicted winner

Tractor Sazi

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Tractor Sazi or draw and -2.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Esteghlal FC 0–0 Tractor Sazi (18 Jan 2026)
2. Tractor Sazi 0–1 Esteghlal FC (19 Aug 2025)
3. Tractor Sazi 2–1 Esteghlal FC (11 Aug 2025)
4. Tractor Sazi 2–1 Esteghlal FC (04 Apr 2025)
5. Esteghlal FC 0–2 Tractor Sazi (31 Oct 2024)