TPV vs FC jazz Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives FC jazz a double-chance edge of draw or away win, with home, draw, and away probabilities of 10%, 45%, and 45%, so the advice rests on TPV being unlikely to win rather than on a clear away superiority. That reading is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where FC jazz leads on form (59 vs 41), attack (57 vs 43), defence (73 vs 27), and Poisson (60 vs 40), while the head-to-head and goals splits are far more lopsided at 93 vs 7 in FC jazz's favour. The season records qualify this: TPV have 7 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses from 24, whereas FC jazz have 10 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a real but not overwhelming gap that the 93–7 metrics may exaggerate. TPV's home form is their stronger side (5 home wins, 3 home losses, 21 home goals for and 18 against), while FC jazz are notably better away (6 away wins, only 2 away losses, 18 away goals for and 13 against), which supports the away-or-draw lean but also explains why a home win is not impossible. The goals analysis shows both teams are low-scoring overall, with TPV averaging 1.40 goals for and 1.90 against and FC jazz 1.50 for and 1.30 against, and the under 2.5 counts (19 of 24 for TPV, 21 of 24 for FC jazz) suggest a tight, low-total game rather than a rout. Recent form is mixed for both: TPV's last five are L-W-L-W-D, including a 4-2 home win over KuPS Akatemia and a 0-3 loss at Inter Turku II, while FC jazz's last five are L-W-W-D-W, with three clean sheets in those wins but a 0-2 home defeat to VJS. The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal for the advice, as FC jazz won the two 2026 meetings 4-0 at home and 2-0 away at this same Kauppi venue, and they also lead the older 2020–2021 meetings, though those come from different divisions and squads. Taken together, the evidence supports the draw-or-FC jazz position through FC jazz's defensive edge, away record, and recent head-to-head dominance, but the 45% draw probability and TPV's respectable home scoring mean this should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

FC jazz

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or FC jazz

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. FC jazz 4–0 TPV (24 Jul 2026)
2. TPV 0–2 FC jazz (02 May 2026)
3. FC jazz 2–1 TPV (20 Aug 2021)
4. TPV 0–0 FC jazz (03 Jun 2021)
5. FC jazz 6–0 TPV (31 Oct 2020)