Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Touring vs Durango Prediction

Touring badgeTouring vs Durango badgeDurango

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Touring avoids defeat in 90% of modelled outcomes.
  • Touring's superior form and defensive scores, plus a strong head-to-head record, support their status as the favoured side despite Durango's attacking edge.
  • Durango's higher attack rating and away scoring average suggest they can threaten, which tempers confidence in a clean Touring win and favours covering the draw.
  • Both teams' recent matches show low goal totals, reinforcing that a tight, draw-prone contest aligns with the cautious double-chance recommendation.
  • The head-to-head sample is small and venue-dependent, so it strengthens rather than guarantees Touring's edge within the existing advice.
  • Durango's tendency to draw and concede early goals keeps the draw a live outcome, consistent with the model's elevated draw probability.
Predicted winner
Touring
Betting advice
Double chance : Touring or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorTouringDurango
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total61.2%38.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Touring

Recent form: LDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Durango

Recent form: DLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Durango 4–0 Touring (14 Mar 2026)
  2. Touring 2–0 Durango (02 Nov 2025)
  3. Durango 0–1 Touring (15 Mar 2025)
  4. Touring 3–2 Durango (01 Nov 2024)
  5. Durango 2–3 Touring (11 May 2024)
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