Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Touring vs Durango Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Touring avoids defeat in 90% of modelled outcomes.
- Touring's superior form and defensive scores, plus a strong head-to-head record, support their status as the favoured side despite Durango's attacking edge.
- Durango's higher attack rating and away scoring average suggest they can threaten, which tempers confidence in a clean Touring win and favours covering the draw.
- Both teams' recent matches show low goal totals, reinforcing that a tight, draw-prone contest aligns with the cautious double-chance recommendation.
- The head-to-head sample is small and venue-dependent, so it strengthens rather than guarantees Touring's edge within the existing advice.
- Durango's tendency to draw and concede early goals keeps the draw a live outcome, consistent with the model's elevated draw probability.
- Predicted winner
- Touring
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Touring or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Touring | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Touring
Recent form: LDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Durango
Recent form: DLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Durango 4–0 Touring (14 Mar 2026)
- Touring 2–0 Durango (02 Nov 2025)
- Durango 0–1 Touring (15 Mar 2025)
- Touring 3–2 Durango (01 Nov 2024)
- Durango 2–3 Touring (11 May 2024)


