France · National 2 - Group C

Toulon vs Troyes II Prediction

Toulon badgeToulon vs Troyes II badgeTroyes II

Match prediction

  • Toulon's superior defensive and Poisson metrics, plus home advantage, underpin the double-chance advice despite identical 45% home and draw probabilities.
  • Troyes II's away form is stark: zero wins, zero goals scored, and 3.5 conceded per away match, sharply limiting their upset potential.
  • Toulon's modest scoring rate and recent loss to Lyon Duchere suggest the draw is a genuine risk, explaining why home win probability is not higher.
  • Troyes II's three failed-to-score performances in five matches reinforce that their away goal threat is minimal, supporting Toulon's unbeaten likelihood.
  • The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction relies on current form and goal metrics, which consistently favor Toulon over Troyes II.
  • Toulon's two clean sheets and low goals-against average contrast with Troyes II's leaky away defense, strengthening the case for avoiding an away win.
Predicted winner
Toulon
Betting advice
Double chance : Toulon or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorToulonTroyes II
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total59.0%41.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Toulon

Recent form: DDWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Troyes II

Recent form: DLWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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