Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Torres vs Vado Prediction
· Vanni Sanna
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward a Torres win, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice of “Winner : Torres” rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear separation. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Torres dominates form (91 versus 9), attack (70 versus 30), defence (57 versus 43), Poisson (74 versus 26) and total (73 versus 27), yet the head-to-head, goals and overall goal-based comparison fields are all empty or zero, leaving no historical or scoring baseline to confirm the edge. Torres’s six-match record of three wins, one draw and two losses is built almost entirely at home, where they have three wins from three, while Vado’s one win, one draw and four losses include just a single home victory and no away wins. The last-five records sharpen that split: Torres have won three, drawn one and lost one, scoring in every match except a 2-0 defeat at Grosseto, whereas Vado have lost all five, including a 3-1 defeat at Reggiana and a 3-0 loss at Spezia. Torres’s goals analysis shows 2.00 goals scored per home game against 0.70 away, and 1.00 conceded at home against 1.70 away, so their strongest output and tightest defence coincide with this fixture’s venue. Vado’s numbers run the other way, with 0.70 goals scored per home game and 1.00 away, but 2.00 conceded per away game, and they have failed to score in three of six matches, which makes their attacking threat harder to sustain on the road. The minute breakdowns add texture rather than certainty: Torres score 37.5% of their goals in the 61st to 75th minute, while Vado concede 62.5% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes, suggesting an early vulnerability that could matter if Torres start quickly. Vado’s own goals are heavily concentrated in the 31st to 45th minute (60%), so if they are to resist the prediction, that window may be their best opportunity. The head-to-head section is unavailable, with no recorded meetings, so it neither supports nor undermines the model’s lean, and the draw probability remains a substantial qualification to any single-winner reading.
- Predicted winner
- Torres
- Betting advice
- Winner : Torres
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Torres | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Attack | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 73.0% | 27.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Torres
Recent form: LWLWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Vado
Recent form: WDLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


