Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Spain
Torrellano vs Vall de Uxó Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model favours Vall de Uxó as the winner, though its 45% away probability is matched exactly by the 45% draw probability, leaving Torrellano at only 10%, so the advice is better read as a lean than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Vall de Uxó dominates form (100.00 vs 0.00), defence (86.00 vs 14.00) and the Poisson measure (100.00 vs 0.00), while the head-to-head split of 75.00 to 25.00 and goals split of 58.00 to 42.00 are noticeably less one-sided. Torrellano's team analysis shows a three-match losing run (LLL) with no wins, no draws and no clean sheets, conceding twice at home and four times across two away games, which explains why their form and Poisson values sit at zero. Vall de Uxó's DWW record over three matches, with two wins, one draw, no defeats and two clean sheets, is the strongest single argument behind the prediction, although the small sample of three fixtures means these percentages should not be treated as stable. The goals analysis adds nuance: Torrellano average 0.70 goals scored but 2.00 conceded, while Vall de Uxó score 1.30 and concede only 0.30, and Vall de Uxó's two clean sheets came with one home failure to score, hinting their attacking output is less reliable than their defensive record. The last-five records extend the picture, with Torrellano losing all five listed matches, including a 1-3 defeat at Hércules II and a 0-2 loss at Villarreal III, whereas Vall de Uxó's most recent five mix two wins, a draw and two defeats, including a 0-4 home loss to Saguntino. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight to the away lean, since Torrellano won the most recent meeting 1-2 away and also recorded a 4-1 home win in 2025, while Vall de Uxó won 1-0 at home in March 2026 and 3-0 in October 2024, producing an even two-two split across four meetings. Overall, the evidence supports Vall de Uxó as the more likely winner on current form and defence, but the equal draw probability, Torrellano's historical ability to beat them, and the very small samples involved mean the prediction carries meaningful uncertainty rather than a guaranteed outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Vall de Uxó
- Betting advice
- Winner : Vall de Uxó
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Torrellano | Vall de Uxó |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Total | 28.5% | 71.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Torrellano
Recent form: LLL.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Vall de Uxó
Recent form: DWW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Vall de Uxó 1–0 Torrellano (28 Mar 2026)
- Torrellano 1–2 Vall de Uxó (16 Nov 2025)
- Torrellano 4–1 Vall de Uxó (02 Mar 2025)
- Vall de Uxó 3–0 Torrellano (20 Oct 2024)


