Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Torrejón vs Unión Adarve Prediction

Torrejón badgeTorrejón vs Unión Adarve badgeUnión Adarve

Match prediction

  • Unión Adarve's unbeaten four-match form contrasts sharply with Torrejón's three losses, supporting the away side's higher win-or-draw probability.
  • Torrejón's attack has produced just two goals in four games, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation behind the under 3.5 goals advice.
  • Unión Adarve's three draws in four matches explain why the model assigns equal 45% probabilities to away win and draw.
  • The head-to-head record is split evenly with recent meetings drawn, qualifying the away win by showing Torrejón can avoid defeat.
  • Torrejón's defensive record is stronger at home than away, suggesting the home side may limit Unión Adarve's scoring despite poor form.
  • Both teams' goal totals stay under 2.5 in every match, making the combined double chance and under 3.5 goals advice internally consistent.
Predicted winner
Unión Adarve
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Unión Adarve and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorTorrejónUnión Adarve
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson23.0%77.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total37.5%62.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Torrejón

Recent form: LWLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Unión Adarve

Recent form: WDDD.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Unión Adarve 2–2 Torrejón (08 Mar 2026)
  2. Torrejón 0–0 Unión Adarve (26 Oct 2025)
  3. Unión Adarve —–— Torrejón (07 Aug 2024)
  4. Torrejón 0–0 Unión Adarve (31 Jan 2021)
  5. Unión Adarve 1–1 Torrejón (01 Nov 2020)
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