Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Torrejón vs Unión Adarve Prediction
Match prediction
- Unión Adarve's unbeaten four-match form contrasts sharply with Torrejón's three losses, supporting the away side's higher win-or-draw probability.
- Torrejón's attack has produced just two goals in four games, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation behind the under 3.5 goals advice.
- Unión Adarve's three draws in four matches explain why the model assigns equal 45% probabilities to away win and draw.
- The head-to-head record is split evenly with recent meetings drawn, qualifying the away win by showing Torrejón can avoid defeat.
- Torrejón's defensive record is stronger at home than away, suggesting the home side may limit Unión Adarve's scoring despite poor form.
- Both teams' goal totals stay under 2.5 in every match, making the combined double chance and under 3.5 goals advice internally consistent.
- Predicted winner
- Unión Adarve
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Unión Adarve and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Torrejón | Unión Adarve |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Torrejón
Recent form: LWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Unión Adarve
Recent form: WDDD.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Unión Adarve 2–2 Torrejón (08 Mar 2026)
- Torrejón 0–0 Unión Adarve (26 Oct 2025)
- Unión Adarve —–— Torrejón (07 Aug 2024)
- Torrejón 0–0 Unión Adarve (31 Jan 2021)
- Unión Adarve 1–1 Torrejón (01 Nov 2020)


