1a Divisão - Women · Portugal

Torreense W vs Marítimo W Prediction

· Estadio Manuel Marques

Torreense W badgeTorreense W vs Marítimo W badgeMarítimo W

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a Torreense W win combined with over 2.5 goals, yet its own probabilities show 50% home and 50% draw with 0% away, so the advice is better read as a strong lean against a Marítimo W victory than as a confident home win. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Torreense W sweeps form, attack, defence and Poisson at 100.00 against 0.00, but the head-to-head split is far narrower at 60.00 versus 40.00, and the goal-based totals sit at 59.50 against 40.50. Torreense W's profile supports the attacking half of the advice: two wins from two, a 3-0 home win over Rio Ave W and a 0-3 away win at Vitoria Guimaraes W, six goals scored at 3.00 per game, no goals conceded, and both matches going over 2.5 goals. Marítimo W's performance analysis points the same way, with two defeats from two away matches, a heaviest loss of 5-0, no clean sheets, and failure to score in both games, while their goals analysis shows 10 conceded at 5.00 per game and every under/over line from 0.5 to 4.5 going over. The last-five records add important texture: Torreense W have won all five, including a 6-1 home win over Kolos Kovalivka W, whereas Marítimo W's sequence is L, L, D, W, L, with the two recent 0-5 losses to Sporting CP W and Sporting Braga W doing most of the damage. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since Torreense W lead it 60/40 but Marítimo W have won three of the eight meetings, including a 4-2 away win in September 2025 and a 1-0 home win in January 2025, which shows this fixture has not been one-sided. The goal-timing data is mixed and based on tiny samples, with Torreense W scoring across the 31-45, 46-60, 61-75 and 76-90 windows while Marítimo W's only goal came in the 76-90 window and 55.56% of the goals they conceded also arrived there. Overall, the evidence supports the over 2.5 element more consistently than the winner element, because Torreense W's perfect start and Marítimo W's defensive collapse align, but the 50% draw probability and Marítimo W's historical competitiveness in this matchup mean the home-win leg should be treated as uncertain rather than assured.

Predicted winner
Torreense W
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Torreense W and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorTorreense WMarítimo W
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals59.0%41.0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Torreense W

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Marítimo W

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Torreense W 3–1 Marítimo W (08 Feb 2026)
  2. Marítimo W 2–4 Torreense W (21 Sep 2025)
  3. Marítimo W 1–0 Torreense W (19 Jan 2025)
  4. Torreense W 5–1 Marítimo W (15 Sep 2024)
  5. Marítimo W 4–1 Torreense W (18 Feb 2024)
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