Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Guarnizo Prediction
Match prediction
- Torina's unbeaten start and three clean sheets justify the home win advice, though the 45% draw probability signals the model sees this as far from certain.
- Guarnizo's three straight defeats and 3.00 away goals conceded average sharply undercut their chances, supporting Torina despite the modest 45% home probability.
- Torina's defensive dominance, conceding once in four games, contrasts with Guarnizo's leaky backline, reinforcing the winner advice even if goals stay low.
- Head-to-head favors Guarnizo 62%, a genuine counterweight that explains why the model splits home and draw evenly rather than backing Torina strongly.
- Torina's attack is efficient but not prolific, and Guarnizo's recent scoring struggles suggest a low-scoring home win rather than a comfortable margin.
- Guarnizo's only win came at home, and their away form shows no clean sheets, strengthening Torina's case while the draw probability tempers confidence.
- Predicted winner
- Torina
- Betting advice
- Winner : Torina
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Torina | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Poisson | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Torina
Recent form: DWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Guarnizo
Recent form: LLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Guarnizo 2–2 Torina (03 May 2026)
- Torina 0–1 Guarnizo (04 Jan 2026)
- Guarnizo 2–0 Torina (12 Apr 2025)
- Torina 1–1 Guarnizo (01 Dec 2024)
- Torina 3–2 Guarnizo (27 Apr 2024)