England · FA Cup

Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay Prediction

Tonbridge Angels badgeTonbridge Angels vs Torquay badgeTorquay

Match prediction

  • Torquay's away win probability and draw probability are equal at 45%, so the model's winner pick carries no margin over the draw outcome.
  • Tonbridge's attack rating of 25 against Torquay's 75 marks the clearest quality gap, supporting Torquay despite identical recent form.
  • Torquay's 6-1 cup win shows scoring capacity, but a 0-3 league loss days later warns that output is volatile.
  • Head-to-head heavily favours Torquay, yet the last two meetings were decided by a single goal, tempering any comfortable-win expectation.
  • Both teams scored in nearly every recent outing, which underpins the +2.5 goals component more strongly than the outright winner.
  • The combo advice therefore rests on Torquay's edge plus open games, while the draw probability remains a genuine threat.
Predicted winner
Torquay
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Torquay and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorTonbridge AngelsTorquay
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total38.8%61.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Tonbridge Angels

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Torquay

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 6.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Torquay (15 Aug 2026)
  2. Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Torquay (25 Apr 2026)
  3. Torquay 1–2 Tonbridge Angels (06 Dec 2025)
  4. Tonbridge Angels 0–1 Torquay (08 Mar 2025)
  5. Torquay 0–0 Tonbridge Angels (09 Nov 2024)
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