Tomislav vs Igman Konjic Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Igman Konjic with a double-chance advice of draw or away, assigning 45% to each of those outcomes against only 10% for a Tomislav win, so the value is framed as avoiding a home victory rather than backing a clear away winner. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Igman Konjic leads on form (71 versus 29), defence (78 versus 22), Poisson (100 versus 0) and head-to-head (75 versus 25), while Tomislav's only edges come in attack (46 versus 54 in the away side's favour is actually reversed) and goals (57 versus 43), leaving the profile lopsided. The team analysis sharpens this: Tomislav's recent form reads LLLLWD with four defeats in six, one win, no clean sheets and 17 goals conceded at 2.80 per game, whereas Igman Konjic's DLDWWW includes three wins, four clean sheets and only four goals against at 0.70 per game. Tomislav's goals analysis shows they score a modest 1.00 per game and concede heavily, with 60% of their goals arriving in the 76-90 window, suggesting late consolation rather than control, while Igman Konjic average 1.20 scored and keep opponents to under 1.5 goals in five of six matches. The last-five records tell a similar story but with a caveat: Tomislav managed a 2-2 draw at Bratstvo Gračanica and a 2-1 home win over Stupčanica Olovo, yet also lost 4-0 away and 2-4 at home, while Igman Konjic won three straight before a 1-1 draw with Posušje and a 0-3 home loss to Stupčanica Olovo. That 0-3 defeat is the main qualifier to the away side's defensive numbers, showing the clean-sheet run is not absolute, and it sits alongside Tomislav's 5-0 home win over Igman Konjic in September 2025, which is the strongest counter-evidence to the model's lean. The head-to-head record is mixed across four meetings, with Igman Konjic winning 2-1 at home in April 2026 and 2-1 away in 2021, Tomislav winning 5-0 at home in 2025 and Igman Konjic winning 2-1 in 2021, so the 75-25 head-to-head split rests on a small and inconsistent sample. Overall, the form, defensive and Poisson evidence jointly support the draw-or-away advice, but the low 10% home probability and the 45-45 split between draw and away suggest the model sees this as a tight, low-conviction call rather than a decisive Igman Konjic win.

Predicted winner

Igman Konjic

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Igman Konjic

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Igman Konjic 2–1 Tomislav (12 Apr 2026)
2. Tomislav 5–0 Igman Konjic (20 Sep 2025)
3. Tomislav 1–2 Igman Konjic (07 May 2022)
4. Igman Konjic 2–1 Tomislav (16 Oct 2021)