Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Tomares vs Portuense Prediction
Match prediction
- Portuense's superior form and attack ratings, plus a 73% Poisson share, justify favoring them despite the modest 45% win probability.
- The draw also carries 45%, so the double-chance advice correctly hedges against Portuense's narrow edge rather than backing an outright win.
- Tomares' 10% win probability reflects a weaker attack and recent loss to Linense, making a home victory the least likely outcome.
- Both defences rate equally at 50, and neither side has exceeded 2.5 goals in any match, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest.
- Portuense's three wins in four, including two away, contrast with Tomares' alternating results, supporting the away-leaning prediction.
- With no head-to-head history and only four matches played, the model's probabilities rest on small samples, so the draw hedge remains prudent.
- Predicted winner
- Portuense
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Portuense
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tomares | Portuense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tomares
Recent form: DLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Portuense
Recent form: WWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.