Tolmin vs Svoboda Prediction
Match prediction
- Tolmin's perfect form score against Svoboda's winless run strongly supports the home-winner advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Svoboda's attack and defence ratings sit near the bottom of their scales, while Tolmin's rank far higher, reinforcing the predicted home edge.
- The head-to-head record favours Tolmin heavily, yet Svoboda won the most recent meeting away, a small-sample warning against treating the advice as certain.
- Tolmin's goals arrive mostly late while Svoboda concede throughout, suggesting the home side's scoring threat may build as the match progresses.
- Svoboda have failed to score in four of seven matches and never kept a clean sheet, undermining any away resistance implied by the draw probability.
- Tolmin's recent form includes a home defeat and two draws, so the 50% draw share reflects genuine inconsistency rather than mere model caution.
- Predicted winner
- Tolmin
- Betting advice
- Winner : Tolmin
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tolmin | Svoboda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Defence | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| Poisson | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| H2h | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Goals | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| Total | 80.4% | 19.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tolmin
Recent form: DDWDWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Svoboda
Recent form: LDLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Svoboda 1–2 Tolmin (07 Mar 2026)
- Tolmin 3–0 Svoboda (23 Aug 2025)
- Tolmin —–— Svoboda (30 May 2021)
- Svoboda 2–5 Tolmin (08 May 2021)


