Slovenia · 3. SNL - West

Tolmin vs Svoboda Prediction

Tolmin badgeTolmin vs Svoboda badgeSvoboda

Match prediction

  • Tolmin's perfect form score against Svoboda's winless run strongly supports the home-winner advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Svoboda's attack and defence ratings sit near the bottom of their scales, while Tolmin's rank far higher, reinforcing the predicted home edge.
  • The head-to-head record favours Tolmin heavily, yet Svoboda won the most recent meeting away, a small-sample warning against treating the advice as certain.
  • Tolmin's goals arrive mostly late while Svoboda concede throughout, suggesting the home side's scoring threat may build as the match progresses.
  • Svoboda have failed to score in four of seven matches and never kept a clean sheet, undermining any away resistance implied by the draw probability.
  • Tolmin's recent form includes a home defeat and two draws, so the 50% draw share reflects genuine inconsistency rather than mere model caution.
Predicted winner
Tolmin
Betting advice
Winner : Tolmin
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorTolminSvoboda
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence74.0%26.0%
Poisson85.0%15.0%
H2h91.0%9.0%
Goals77.0%23.0%
Total80.4%19.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Tolmin

Recent form: DDWDWLW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Svoboda

Recent form: LDLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Svoboda 1–2 Tolmin (07 Mar 2026)
  2. Tolmin 3–0 Svoboda (23 Aug 2025)
  3. Tolmin —–— Svoboda (30 May 2021)
  4. Svoboda 2–5 Tolmin (08 May 2021)
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