TOGB vs Roosendaal Prediction
TOGB vs 
Roosendaal
Match prediction
- The model's near-even three-way split makes the double-chance advice a low-variance hedge rather than a confident home call.
- TOGB's strong head-to-head edge is undercut by a winless home record and the division's worst home defence.
- Roosendaal's superior recent form is inflated by two early wins, with three straight losses since exposing a leaky away defence.
- Both attacks grade identically, so the fixture's edge likely comes from TOGB's home scoring volume against Roosendaal's away concessions.
- Roosendaal's tendency to fail scoring in three of seven matches supports covering the draw alongside a TOGB win.
- The narrow Poisson and total-score margins confirm no side dominates, justifying the cautious double chance over an outright pick.
- Predicted winner
- TOGB
- Betting advice
- Double chance : TOGB or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | TOGB | Roosendaal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Poisson | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
TOGB
Recent form: DLLDLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Roosendaal
Recent form: WLLWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Roosendaal 1–1 TOGB (19 Apr 2026)
- TOGB 3–2 Roosendaal (16 Nov 2025)