Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Mátészalka's 10% away share is the clear outlier.
• Tiszaujvaros's perfect head-to-head record, including a home win and an away draw, supports the home-or-draw lean despite their inconsistent recent form.
• Mátészalka's superior defensive and form metrics are offset by a weak away record, with both losses and both scoreless games coming on the road.
• Tiszaujvaros's attack and Poisson ratings sit level with Mátészalka's, so the model's edge rests on venue and history rather than clear statistical dominance.
• Both sides average under two goals per game, and most matches stay below 2.5, suggesting a tight contest where the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
• Mátészalka's perfect penalty record and late-scoring habit add variance, but their away defeats show that threat rarely translates into road wins.

Predicted winner

Tiszaújváros

Betting advice

Double chance : Tiszaújváros or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Tiszaújváros 1–0 Mátészalka (09 Mar 2025)
2. Mátészalka 1–1 Tiszaújváros (18 Aug 2024)