Tigres de Alica vs H2O Purepechas Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than an outright win, since neither outcome dominates.
- Tigres' unbeaten home record with two draws supports the draw leg, while H2O's three losses in four matches reinforce the home side's edge.
- H2O has failed to score in three of four matches and averages 0.3 goals, making a Tigres defeat unlikely despite the modest 10% away probability.
- Both attacks are separated sharply in form and Poisson metrics, yet identical 50 defence scores suggest Tigres' advantage may not translate into a comfortable margin.
- Tigres' five matches produced only one over 2.5 goals, so the double chance advice fits a low-scoring pattern rather than a decisive home win.
- The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests on current form and goal data alone, leaving the draw probability as a genuine hedge.
- Predicted winner
- Tigres de Alica
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Tigres de Alica or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tigres de Alica | H2O Purepechas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Attack | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 76.0% | 24.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tigres de Alica
Recent form: WWLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
H2O Purepechas
Recent form: DLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


