Thisted FC vs Roskilde Prediction
Match prediction
- Roskilde's unbeaten nine-match record, with six draws, supports the draw-or-Roskilde advice despite the model splitting win and draw probabilities evenly.
- Thisted's seven losses and zero clean sheets expose defensive fragility, though Roskilde's drawing habit tempers outright away-win confidence.
- Roskilde's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, but the 45-45 split correctly keeps the draw as a live outcome.
- Head-to-head is perfectly balanced at 50-50, yet Roskilde avoided defeat in the last four meetings, reinforcing the double-chance selection.
- Thisted concede heavily early while Roskilde score often in the opening quarter, suggesting Roskilde should avoid the slow start that could produce a draw.
- Roskilde's low-scoring tendencies and Thisted's weak attack make a narrow margin likely, which is why covering both draw and away win is safer than backing Roskilde alone.
- Predicted winner
- Roskilde
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Roskilde
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Thisted FC | Roskilde |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Total | 37.2% | 63.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Thisted FC
Recent form: LLLLDLLWL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Roskilde
Recent form: DWDDDWDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Thisted FC 1–2 Roskilde (29 May 2026)
- Roskilde 0–1 Thisted FC (25 Apr 2026)
- Roskilde 1–2 Thisted FC (01 Nov 2025)
- Thisted FC 0–0 Roskilde (21 Sep 2025)
- Thisted FC 1–3 Roskilde (18 Nov 2023)


