Denmark · 2. Division

Thisted FC vs Roskilde Prediction

Thisted FC badgeThisted FC vs Roskilde badgeRoskilde

Match prediction

  • Roskilde's unbeaten nine-match record, with six draws, supports the draw-or-Roskilde advice despite the model splitting win and draw probabilities evenly.
  • Thisted's seven losses and zero clean sheets expose defensive fragility, though Roskilde's drawing habit tempers outright away-win confidence.
  • Roskilde's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, but the 45-45 split correctly keeps the draw as a live outcome.
  • Head-to-head is perfectly balanced at 50-50, yet Roskilde avoided defeat in the last four meetings, reinforcing the double-chance selection.
  • Thisted concede heavily early while Roskilde score often in the opening quarter, suggesting Roskilde should avoid the slow start that could produce a draw.
  • Roskilde's low-scoring tendencies and Thisted's weak attack make a narrow margin likely, which is why covering both draw and away win is safer than backing Roskilde alone.
Predicted winner
Roskilde
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Roskilde
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorThisted FCRoskilde
Form31.0%69.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson26.0%74.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals45.0%55.0%
Total37.2%63.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Thisted FC

Recent form: LLLLDLLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Roskilde

Recent form: DWDDDWDWD.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Thisted FC 1–2 Roskilde (29 May 2026)
  2. Roskilde 0–1 Thisted FC (25 Apr 2026)
  3. Roskilde 1–2 Thisted FC (01 Nov 2025)
  4. Thisted FC 0–0 Roskilde (21 Sep 2025)
  5. Thisted FC 1–3 Roskilde (18 Nov 2023)
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