The New Saints vs Cambrian & Clydach Prediction
· Park Hall
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win probability sits alongside an equally high draw chance, so the headline winner is far less certain than the comparison metrics suggest.
- The New Saints' perfect home record and seven clean sheets in eleven matches underpin the defensive edge that justifies backing them.
- Cambrian's away form is the decisive weakness, with three away defeats including a nine-goal collapse that inflates their defensive risk.
- Both attacks average near two goals per game, which supports the +1.5 goals component even though the win probability is split.
- The sole head-to-head meeting produced a five-goal away win for The New Saints, reinforcing their superiority but from a very small sample.
- Cambrian's tendency to concede late, with thirty percent of goals against after the 76th minute, raises the chance of the match exceeding 1.5 goals.
- Predicted winner
- The New Saints
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : The New Saints and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | The New Saints | Cambrian & Clydach |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| Poisson | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 72.3% | 27.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
The New Saints
Recent form: DWWWWWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Cambrian & Clydach
Recent form: LDWWLDDWWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cambrian & Clydach 0–5 The New Saints (16 Mar 2025)