Teutonia Ottensen vs Niendorfer TSV Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Niendorfer TSV with a double chance of draw or away, assigning 45% to the draw and 45% to an away win while leaving Teutonia Ottensen at just 10%, so the advice is essentially a bet against a home victory rather than a strong call on either outcome. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Niendorfer's form score of 60.00 and total score of 61.80 sit above Teutonia's 40.00 and 38.30, and the head-to-head and goals splits are even more lopsided at 88.00 versus 13.00 and 86.00 versus 14.00 respectively. However, the same comparison set shows Teutonia ahead on attack (57.00 to 43.00) and defence (56.00 to 44.00), and the Poisson metric is dead level at 50.00 apiece, which tempers the away-side edge and helps explain why the draw carries as much weight as the away win. The team analysis supports a modest rather than dominant Niendorfer case: they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 8 games with a WWDLLWWL sequence, while Teutonia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 7 with WLLDWLL, so the gap is real but built on a small sample. The goals analysis adds a further qualification, since Niendorfer concede 2.30 per game overall and 2.80 at home, and Teutonia's away figures are extreme in both directions, scoring 2.00 but conceding 2.80 on the road. The last-five records show why neither side can be trusted: Teutonia's run includes a 5-0 win at Norderstedt II but also 1-3 defeats to Paloma and Nikola Tesla and a 6-1 loss at Altona 93, while Niendorfer beat Sasel 3-0 and Süderelbe 1-0 but lost 0-5 at Pinneberg and 0-6 at home to Victoria Hamburg. The head-to-head record is the clearest single strand favouring the visitors, with Niendorfer winning 2-0 at home in May 2026 and 4-1 away at Teutonia in November 2025, though the January 2026 friendly between them has no recorded score and therefore adds nothing. Overall, the away-leaning double chance is supported by form, total score and head-to-head evidence, but it is qualified by Teutonia's superior attack and defence ratings, the even Poisson split, and both teams' capacity for heavy defeats, so the draw component of the advice looks like a sensible hedge rather than a redundant one.

Predicted winner

Niendorfer TSV

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Niendorfer TSV

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Niendorfer TSV 2–0 Teutonia Ottensen (09 May 2026)
2. Teutonia Ottensen —–— Niendorfer TSV (31 Jan 2026)
3. Teutonia Ottensen 1–4 Niendorfer TSV (07 Nov 2025)