Teruel vs Huesca Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Huesca a combined 90% chance of avoiding defeat, with draw and away win each at 45% and Teruel at just 10%, and its advice pairs that double chance with a -3.5 goals line. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Huesca lead form 83 to 17, attack 100 to 0, Poisson 100 to 0, head-to-head 100 to 0 and goals 71 to 29, leaving Teruel only a slight 42-to-58 edge in defence. Teruel's team analysis reinforces the pessimism, since a DLLL form line across four games has produced no wins, no goals scored at all, four failures to score and a 4-0 away loss, even though they did keep one clean sheet at home. Huesca's WDLD record is far from dominant, however, with only one win in four, a 0-3 home defeat and two failures to score, so the 90% unbeaten probability looks more generous than their actual output. Their goals analysis shows just three goals in four matches at 0.80 per game, and although they have scored in every away fixture at 2.00 goals per away game, the sample is a single match. Teruel's goals analysis is even more restrictive: zero goals in four games, with every under 0.5 to 4.5 market landing under, while they concede 1.80 per game overall and 3.00 away, including a cluster of goals against between the 61st and 75th minute. Huesca concede 1.30 per game, with 80% of those goals arriving in the first half, which suggests their clean-sheet potential is concentrated early rather than across the full match. The last-five records qualify the headline gap: Teruel have lost four and drawn one, scoring only once, whereas Huesca have two wins, two draws and one loss, but three of those five came at home and their away form rests on a single 2-2 draw at Real Jaén. The head-to-head record is thin and entirely friendly-based, with Huesca winning 3-1 in August 2026 and 2-1 in July 2023, so it supports the direction of the prediction without offering competitive-league evidence. Overall, the evidence aligns with a low-scoring draw-or-Huesca outcome, but the small samples, Huesca's modest scoring rate and Teruel's complete attacking blank make the -3.5 goals component the more defensible part of the advice than the implied superiority.

Predicted winner

Huesca

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Huesca and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Huesca 3–1 Teruel (16 Aug 2026)
2. Huesca 2–1 Teruel (26 Jul 2023)