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Teplice vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction

· AGC Arena Na Stinadlech

Teplice badgeTeplice vs Dynamo Dresden badgeDynamo Dresden

Match prediction

  • Dresden's 45% win probability matches the draw exactly, so the model's edge is thin and the combo advice carries real risk.
  • Teplice's perfect home defence and five clean sheets suggest they can suppress Dresden, qualifying the away-win assumption.
  • Dresden's 70 attack rating against Teplice's 100 defence rating creates the central tension behind the +1.5 goals leg.
  • Dresden's recent losses to Hertha, Bochum and Heidenheim show the 48 form rating overstates their current sharpness.
  • Teplice's 3-0 and 5-0 wins indicate scoring capacity, supporting the +1.5 goals component even without a home victory.
  • The 88% head-to-head edge for Dresden rests on only three friendlies, so it strengthens the pick less than it appears.
Predicted winner
Dynamo Dresden
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Dynamo Dresden and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorTepliceDynamo Dresden
Form52.0%48.0%
Attack30.0%70.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h13.0%88.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total32.0%68.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Teplice

Recent form: DLWDWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Dynamo Dresden

Recent form: WWWWWLW.

Average goals scored: 4.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dynamo Dresden 3–2 Teplice (20 Mar 2025)
  2. Dynamo Dresden —–— Teplice (16 Jul 2022)
  3. Dynamo Dresden 1–0 Teplice (16 Jul 2022)
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