Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX

Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero Prediction

Tepatitlán badgeTepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero badgeCDS Tampico Madero

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the low 10% away share reflects Tampico Madero's winless away record.
  • Tepatitlán's poor form and leaky defence conflict with the model's home edge, but Tampico Madero's five away defeats and four away blanks support avoiding an away win.
  • Tampico Madero's attack and form ratings exceed Tepatitlán's, yet those numbers are inflated by home results, since they scored once in five away matches.
  • Head-to-head favours Tepatitlán and recent meetings were low-scoring, reinforcing that a draw is a plausible outcome alongside a narrow home win.
  • Both teams' defensive weaknesses and Tepatitlán's tendency to concede late suggest goals are likely, though the advice concerns only the match result.
  • The equal home and draw probabilities indicate genuine uncertainty, so the double chance appropriately covers both outcomes rather than backing a single winner.
Predicted winner
Tepatitlán
Betting advice
Double chance : Tepatitlán or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorTepatitlánCDS Tampico Madero
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total53.3%46.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Tepatitlán

Recent form: LLLLWLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

CDS Tampico Madero

Recent form: DLWLWLWLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. CDS Tampico Madero 2–0 Tepatitlán (31 May 2026)
  2. Tepatitlán 3–1 CDS Tampico Madero (24 May 2026)
  3. Tepatitlán 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero (17 May 2026)
  4. CDS Tampico Madero 0–0 Tepatitlán (10 May 2026)
  5. CDS Tampico Madero 0–1 Tepatitlán (19 Jan 2026)
Loading interactive prediction…