Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the low 10% away share reflects Tampico Madero's winless away record.
- Tepatitlán's poor form and leaky defence conflict with the model's home edge, but Tampico Madero's five away defeats and four away blanks support avoiding an away win.
- Tampico Madero's attack and form ratings exceed Tepatitlán's, yet those numbers are inflated by home results, since they scored once in five away matches.
- Head-to-head favours Tepatitlán and recent meetings were low-scoring, reinforcing that a draw is a plausible outcome alongside a narrow home win.
- Both teams' defensive weaknesses and Tepatitlán's tendency to concede late suggest goals are likely, though the advice concerns only the match result.
- The equal home and draw probabilities indicate genuine uncertainty, so the double chance appropriately covers both outcomes rather than backing a single winner.
- Predicted winner
- Tepatitlán
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Tepatitlán or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tepatitlán | CDS Tampico Madero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tepatitlán
Recent form: LLLLWLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
CDS Tampico Madero
Recent form: DLWLWLWLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- CDS Tampico Madero 2–0 Tepatitlán (31 May 2026)
- Tepatitlán 3–1 CDS Tampico Madero (24 May 2026)
- Tepatitlán 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero (17 May 2026)
- CDS Tampico Madero 0–0 Tepatitlán (10 May 2026)
- CDS Tampico Madero 0–1 Tepatitlán (19 Jan 2026)


