TEC vs Eemdijk Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours TEC, with a 45% home win probability and an identical 45% draw probability, leaving Eemdijk at just 10%, and the advice combines a TEC win with over 2.5 goals. That split between home and draw is notable because the comparison metrics lean far more decisively toward TEC: form at 77 versus 23, attack at 71 versus 29, and Poisson at 86 versus 14 all point the same direction. Defence is the one comparison that is nearly level, 54 versus 46, which helps explain why the model does not convert TEC's attacking edge into a larger win probability. TEC's six-match record of three wins, one draw and two losses, with 17 goals scored at 2.80 per game and 14 conceded at 2.30, supports the over 2.5 element, since four of their six matches went over that line. Eemdijk's contrasting six-match record of one win and five defeats, with only seven goals scored at 1.20 per game and 19 conceded at 3.20, reinforces both the TEC lean and the goals expectation, although their 3-0 win at Elinkwijk shows they are not entirely without threat. The last-five records sharpen this: TEC have scored four or more in every one of those matches, including a 4-4 draw and a 5-4 win, while Eemdijk's sequence is one win, three defeats and a 3-0 win, with two matches in which they failed to score. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight, since Eemdijk lead it 75 to 25 and have won the two most recent meetings, 3-1 at home and 2-0 away, even though TEC won the two before that, 6-1 and 3-0. That recent head-to-head pattern qualifies the otherwise strong form and Poisson signals, and the 45% draw probability may partly reflect it, so the TEC win and over 2.5 combination looks plausible but not secure.

Predicted winner

TEC

Betting advice

Combo Winner : TEC and +2.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Eemdijk 3–1 TEC (21 Mar 2026)
2. TEC 0–2 Eemdijk (18 Oct 2025)
3. TEC 6–1 Eemdijk (08 Mar 2025)
4. Eemdijk 3–0 TEC (05 Oct 2024)