Tarpa vs Debrecen II Prediction
Tarpa vs 
Debrecen II
Match prediction
- Tarpa's seven-loss form and weak attack make the home win probability of 10% consistent with the model's draw-or-Debrecen II advice.
- Debrecen II's superior form and attack ratings support the away side, though their poor away record and leaky defence qualify that edge.
- Both head-to-head meetings ended level, reinforcing the draw component of the double chance rather than a clear away win.
- Tarpa's low scoring and Debrecen II's defensive vulnerability point toward goals, supporting the +1.5 goals element of the advice.
- The near-even away and draw probabilities, combined with split Poisson and goals metrics, justify the cautious double-chance approach over a straight win.
- Predicted winner
- Debrecen II
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Debrecen II and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tarpa | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| Defence | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Poisson | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tarpa
Recent form: WLLLLLLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Debrecen II
Recent form: WLLDWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Debrecen II 1–1 Tarpa (19 Apr 2026)
- Tarpa 1–1 Debrecen II (05 Oct 2025)