Tarbes vs Dinan Léhon Prediction

Match prediction

• Tarbes and Dinan Léhon share identical 45% win probabilities, so the model's double-chance advice mainly reflects the draw's equal weight rather than a clear home edge.
• Dinan's superior form and attack ratings conflict with Tarbes' stronger Poisson and defensive scores, which explains why the model avoids backing either side outright.
• Tarbes' four clean sheets in five matches, including three away, support the low-scoring expectation behind the -3.5 goals component.
• Neither side has exceeded 2.5 goals in any match this season, making the under 3.5 selection consistent with both teams' goal distributions.
• Dinan's away record of one goal in three games and two scoreless trips further weakens the case for a high-scoring contest.
• With no head-to-head history and only five matches played each, the model's probabilities rest on small samples, so the draw's 45% share is a cautious hedge.

Predicted winner

Tarbes

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Tarbes or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.