Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Prediction
· Al Lang Stadium
Match prediction
- Tampa Bay's superior defence and goal output justify favouring them, though the model's 45% home win and 45% draw split explains the double-chance advice.
- Miami's recent away wins and strong head-to-head record against Tampa Bay caution against treating the home side as dominant.
- Tampa Bay's 14 clean sheets and 0.90 goals-against average support the defensive edge, but Miami's five clean sheets away show they can frustrate.
- Both teams' identical 50% form scores suggest recent momentum is balanced, reinforcing the draw as a genuine possibility within the double chance.
- Tampa Bay's heavy reliance on late goals, with over a third scored after 76 minutes, implies matches stay tight and draws remain live.
- Miami's tendency to concede late, especially after 76 minutes, gives Tampa Bay a late edge but also keeps the draw threat present.
- Predicted winner
- Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Miami FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Recent form: WWWWDDWDWWWDLWLDWWWWLDWLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Miami FC
Recent form: LDWWDDLWDLWLDLDWLLDLLLDDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Miami FC 2–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies (26 Jul 2026)
- Miami FC 1–4 Tampa Bay Rowdies (17 May 2026)
- Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–1 Miami FC (15 Jun 2025)
- Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–3 Miami FC (27 Apr 2025)
- Miami FC 1–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies (23 Mar 2025)