Talleres Remedios vs San Martín Burzaco Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Talleres Remedios a 45% home win and 45% draw probability against San Martín Burzaco’s 10%, framing the advice as a double chance on Talleres or draw combined with under 3.5 goals. That cautious lean is supported by the comparison metrics, where Talleres dominates head-to-head 88 to 13 and goals 86 to 14, while San Martín’s only clear edges are form at 56 to 44 and attack at 70 to 30. The Poisson and total figures are much closer, at 53 to 47 and 62 to 38.2, which suggests the model sees a competitive match rather than a one-sided one. Talleres’s defensive profile reinforces the low-scoring expectation: they concede only 0.50 goals per game overall, with 22 clean sheets and just one match over 3.5 total goals, while San Martín concede 1.00 per game and have also stayed under 3.5 in 35 of 36 matches. In attack, both teams average exactly 1.00 goal per game, and Talleres’s 37 goals are heavily concentrated late, with 27.78% in the 76-90 minute window, whereas San Martín spread theirs more evenly but score only 2.78% between minutes 61 and 75. The last-five records add nuance: Talleres have two wins, two draws and one loss with three clean sheets, while San Martín have three wins, one draw and one loss, including a 3-2 home win over Argentino Quilmes and a 2-0 away win at Brown de Adrogué. San Martín’s better recent form and attack rating therefore qualify the double-chance advice, even though their 14 draws and 16 failed-to-score matches show a persistent inability to convert control into goals. The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal for Talleres, but it rests on only three meetings: a 2-0 Talleres away win in May 2026, a 1-1 draw in 2015, and a 3-0 Talleres home win in 2015, so the 88-to-13 split overstates the reliability of such a small sample. Overall, the evidence points toward a tight, low-scoring game in which Talleres’s defensive solidity and head-to-head edge support the double chance, while San Martín’s form and attack keep the away win and higher-scoring outcomes from being dismissed.

Predicted winner

Talleres Remedios

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Talleres Remedios or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. San Martín Burzaco 0–2 Talleres Remedios (16 May 2026)
2. San Martín Burzaco 1–1 Talleres Remedios (15 Nov 2015)
3. Talleres Remedios 3–0 San Martín Burzaco (22 Jun 2015)