Tadley Calleva vs Dartford Prediction
Match prediction
- The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Dartford's superior attack and recent five-win run conflict with the low away probability, suggesting the model weighs Tadley's defensive strength heavily.
- Tadley's perfect two-win form and away clean sheet support the defensive rating that underpins the home-or-draw advice.
- Dartford's 54 form score and 64 attack rating indicate real away threat, qualifying the confidence behind the double chance.
- The Poisson split favours Tadley 73 to 27, reinforcing the home side's edge despite Dartford's stronger overall comparison metrics.
- With no head-to-head history and only two or three matches played, the evidence base is thin, so the probabilities should be treated cautiously.
- Predicted winner
- Tadley Calleva
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Tadley Calleva or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tadley Calleva | Dartford |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tadley Calleva
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Dartford
Recent form: DWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.