Tacuary vs Benjamín Aceval Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Benjamín Aceval a 45% chance of winning and Tacuary only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, so the double-chance advice on draw or Benjamín Aceval reflects a fixture where the away side is favoured but a stalemate is nearly as likely. That balance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Benjamín Aceval leads on form (70 versus 30), attack (70 versus 30), Poisson (68 versus 32), goals (60 versus 40) and total (63 versus 37), while Tacuary's only edge is a modest defensive score of 53 against 47. The head-to-head comparison is the most extreme split at 100 to 0 in Benjamín Aceval's favour, but it rests on a single recorded meeting, a 3-2 home win in June 2026, so it should be treated as a small-sample signal rather than a settled pattern. The season records tell a similar story of separation: Tacuary have 3 wins, 12 draws and 10 losses from 25 matches, whereas Benjamín Aceval have 12 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses, and Tacuary's 12 draws help explain why the draw probability is as high as the away win. Tacuary's recent form is especially weak, with their last five producing three draws and two defeats, including a 0-3 home loss to Deportivo Santani and a 1-2 home defeat to 12 de Junio VH, and they failed to score in eight of 25 league games. Benjamín Aceval's last five are mixed rather than dominant, with two wins, two losses and a draw, but their 2-1 home win over Atlético Tembetary and 3-1 away win at Encarnación show they can convert chances, and their 39 goals scored is well above Tacuary's 26. Defensively the gap narrows, since Benjamín Aceval have conceded 30 goals at 1.20 per game against Tacuary's 39 at 1.60, which qualifies the away side's superiority without overturning it. The goals analysis points to a low-scoring contest, as both teams have gone under 2.5 goals in 21 of 25 matches, and Tacuary's 1.00 goals per game against Benjamín Aceval's 1.60 suggests the draw half of the double chance is a genuine possibility rather than a formality. Overall, the evidence consistently supports the existing draw-or-Benjamín Aceval advice, but the single head-to-head result and Tacuary's high draw count mean the away win should not be treated as certain.

Predicted winner

Benjamín Aceval

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Benjamín Aceval

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Benjamín Aceval 3–2 Tacuary (06 Jun 2026)