Tacuarembo vs Atenas Prediction
Tacuarembo vs 
Atenas
Match prediction
- Atenas's superior form, defence and head-to-head record justify favouring them, though the model splits them evenly with the draw at 45 percent.
- Tacuarembo's attack rating exceeds Atenas's, but their weak form and low scoring average undercut that edge.
- Both sides rarely exceed 2.5 goals, supporting the under 3.5 selection alongside the double chance.
- Atenas's head-to-head dominance is venue-dependent, since Tacuarembo won recent home meetings, tempering away confidence.
- Tacuarembo's five-match winless run and frequent failure to score reinforce the low home probability.
- Atenas's tendency toward draws, including three scoreless or level recent results, explains the elevated draw probability.
- Predicted winner
- Atenas
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Atenas and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tacuarembo | Atenas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| H2h | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Goals | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tacuarembo
Recent form: DDLLLDDWWLWLWLDLLWDWLLLDDD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Atenas
Recent form: DLLLWLWLWWLWWWDLLWWWDLWDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Atenas 2–0 Tacuarembo (27 Jun 2026)
- Atenas 1–0 Tacuarembo (18 Apr 2026)
- Atenas 2–2 Tacuarembo (15 Nov 2025)
- Tacuarembo 1–1 Atenas (09 Nov 2025)
- Atenas 1–0 Tacuarembo (28 Sep 2025)