Swedru All Blacks vs Samartex Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Samartex avoiding defeat, assigning 45% to both a draw and an away win while Swedru All Blacks carry only 10%, and the advice combines that double chance with a -3.5 goals line. That split is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Samartex hold clear edges in form (64 versus 36) and attack (83 versus 17), though Swedru's stronger defensive score of 67 against 33 suggests the hosts are not simply passive. The Poisson and head-to-head columns are less decisive, with both Poisson values at 0.00 and the head-to-head split evenly at 50-50, while goals and total metrics also sit close to even or only mildly favour Samartex. Samartex's team analysis supports the upper hand: an unbeaten WWD sequence across three matches, two wins, no defeats, and a 3-1 home win as their biggest victory, alongside a 1-0 away clean sheet. Swedru's LWD record over the same span is more mixed, with one home win, one away draw, one away loss, and two clean sheets but also two failures to score, which helps explain their low attacking score. The goals analysis reinforces the low-scoring expectation behind the -3.5 line, since Swedru average just 0.30 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per match, and Samartex average 1.70 scored and 0.70 conceded, with neither side exceeding 3.5 goals in any listed match. The last-five records add nuance: Swedru have alternated results including a 0-0 draw at Heart of Lions and a 1-0 home win over Debibi United, while Samartex opened with a 1-1 draw against Asante Kotoko, a 1-0 away win at Aduana Stars, and a 3-1 home win over Karela. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight, as both meetings ended 1-0 to the home side, meaning Swedru won at Swedru Stadium in February 2026 and Samartex won at Samartex Park in November 2025, so home advantage has mattered more than overall form in this small sample. Taken together, the evidence supports the draw-or-Samartex double chance more strongly than an outright away win, while the low goal totals across both teams' profiles make the -3.5 goals component plausible, though the tiny three-match samples and the even head-to-head split mean the model's 45-45 draw/away probabilities should be treated as uncertain rather than decisive.

Predicted winner

Samartex

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Samartex and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Swedru All Blacks 1–0 Samartex (15 Feb 2026)
2. Samartex 1–0 Swedru All Blacks (09 Nov 2025)