Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21 Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome dominates.
• Sweden's superior form, attack, goals, and head-to-head metrics support the home side, yet the Poisson split slightly favours North Macedonia, tempering confidence.
• Identical 50% defensive ratings and Sweden's heavy recent defeats suggest the hosts' advantage rests more on attack than defensive solidity.
• North Macedonia's low scoring, failing to exceed 2.5 goals in any match, limits their capacity to overturn Sweden's attacking edge.
• Both teams' poor recent form, including Sweden's three straight losses, makes the draw component of double chance genuinely valuable.
• Sweden's perfect head-to-head record across three meetings reinforces the advice, though those wins came by narrow or away margins.

Predicted winner

Sweden U21

Betting advice

Double chance : Sweden U21 or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. North Macedonia U21 1–4 Sweden U21 (13 Nov 2025)
2. North Macedonia U21 0–2 Sweden U21 (26 Mar 2024)
3. Sweden U21 0–1 North Macedonia U21 (08 Sep 2023)