Svoboda vs Šencur Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Šencur with a "win or draw" call and a combo advice of draw or Šencur plus over 1.5 goals, though the 10% home, 45% draw and 45% away split shows this is far from a clear away win. That caution is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Šencur lead across form (86 vs 14), attack (64 vs 36), defence (65 vs 35), Poisson (66 vs 34) and total (66.2 vs 33.8), yet the head-to-head (62 vs 38) and goals (54 vs 46) columns are noticeably closer. Svoboda's team analysis explains the low home probability: six matches without a win (five defeats, one draw), no clean sheets, and a goals-against average of 3.00 per game, including a 0-3 home loss and a 4-0 away defeat. Šencur's record is more stable but not dominant, with two wins, three draws and one loss, and a striking home-away split in which they have three home clean sheets but concede 3.00 goals per away game. Their goals analysis reinforces that split, as they average 2.30 goals at home versus 1.50 away, while Svoboda average just 0.80 goals per game and have failed to score in three of six matches. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Svoboda have lost four of five, conceding 17 goals in the process, whereas Šencur's sequence of W-D-D-D-L includes a 3-0 home win over Rudar Trbovlje and a 5-2 away defeat at Izola. The head-to-head record offers the strongest counterweight to a straightforward away read, since the most recent meeting in April 2026 finished 0-0 and Svoboda's only win in the sample was a 5-2 away victory at Šencur in 2020, alongside two Šencur home wins and one unplayed fixture. Taken together, the evidence supports the draw-or-Šencur double chance more than an outright away win, because Šencur's away form and the recent goalless head-to-head qualify their superior overall metrics, while the over 1.5 goals element is consistent with Svoboda's leaky defence and Šencur's tendency to score late.

Predicted winner

Šencur

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Šencur and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Svoboda 0–0 Šencur (11 Apr 2026)
2. Šencur 2–0 Svoboda (26 Sep 2025)
3. Šencur 3–1 Svoboda (05 Jun 2021)
4. Svoboda —–— Šencur (10 Apr 2021)
5. Šencur 2–5 Svoboda (19 Sep 2020)