Germany · Regionalliga - West

SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte Prediction

SV Rodinghausen badgeSV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte badgeSportfreunde Lotte

Match prediction

  • The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome is clearly favoured.
  • Rodinghausen's perfect recent form score contrasts sharply with Lotte's winless record, supporting the home side's inclusion in the advice.
  • Lotte's seven losses and seven failures to score in ten matches reveal an attacking collapse that strengthens the case against an away victory.
  • Head-to-head history favours Lotte at 71%, a conflicting signal that likely explains why the model stops short of backing a Rodinghausen win outright.
  • Rodinghausen's modest 1.30 goals per game and zero matches over 2.5 goals suggest a low-scoring contest where the draw component carries real weight.
  • Lotte's 2.40 goals conceded per home game and five home defeats indicate vulnerability, yet their away draws show enough resilience to keep the draw plausible.
Predicted winner
SV Rodinghausen
Betting advice
Double chance : SV Rodinghausen or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSV RodinghausenSportfreunde Lotte
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack78.0%22.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson55.0%45.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total50.8%49.2%

Team form and goal analysis

SV Rodinghausen

Recent form: LWDDLLLLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Sportfreunde Lotte

Recent form: LDDLDLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sportfreunde Lotte 3–0 SV Rodinghausen (27 Mar 2026)
  2. SV Rodinghausen 1–2 Sportfreunde Lotte (02 Aug 2025)
  3. Sportfreunde Lotte 1–1 SV Rodinghausen (05 Apr 2025)
  4. SV Rodinghausen 2–3 Sportfreunde Lotte (12 Oct 2024)
  5. Sportfreunde Lotte 0–1 SV Rodinghausen (09 Apr 2022)
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