Austria · Regionalliga - South
SV Lafnitz vs Hartberg (Am) Prediction
· Sportplatz Lafnitz
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Hartberg's 10% away win probability is the clear outlier.
- Lafnitz's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson scores support the home side, though the even head-to-head and goals splits temper that edge.
- Hartberg's away record is the decisive weakness: no wins, three scoreless trips, and just one goal across four away matches.
- Lafnitz's away form is stronger than their home form, which qualifies the venue advantage and helps explain why the draw probability matches the home win.
- Both teams concede in every match, so the double chance rests on Lafnitz's greater scoring capacity rather than defensive security.
- The single head-to-head meeting ended level, reinforcing that the draw leg carries real weight within the double-chance advice.
- Predicted winner
- SV Lafnitz
- Betting advice
- Double chance : SV Lafnitz or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | SV Lafnitz | Hartberg (Am) |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 60.2% | 39.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
SV Lafnitz
Recent form: WDLWDLWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Hartberg (Am)
Recent form: LDLLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Hartberg (Am) 2–2 SV Lafnitz (15 Aug 2026)


