World · CONCACAF Nations League
Suriname vs Guatemala Prediction
Match prediction
- Guatemala's 45% win probability and 80% head-to-head edge justify favoring them, though the equal 45% draw share explains the double-chance advice.
- Suriname's perfect two-match form conflicts with their low 10% win probability, suggesting the model weights opponent quality and recent heavy defeats more heavily.
- Guatemala's superior attack and goals metrics align with the +1.5 goals component, supported by both teams scoring in every recent outing.
- Suriname's perfect record came against Martinique and Honduras, a small sample that weakens the form signal relative to Guatemala's tougher recent schedule.
- Guatemala's away losses to Jamaica, Ecuador and Czechia show vulnerability on the road, which tempers confidence in an outright win and supports the draw cover.
- Identical defensive scores and both teams' tendency to concede suggest goals are likely, reinforcing the over 1.5 selection over a clean-sheet outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Guatemala
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Guatemala and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Suriname | Guatemala |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Suriname
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Guatemala
Recent form: LW.
Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Guatemala 3–1 Suriname (19 Nov 2025)
- Suriname 1–1 Guatemala (10 Oct 2025)


