Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice the coherent expression of a fixture it cannot split.
• Supra's dominant head-to-head record and superior goals comparison support the home side, yet their identical recent form and Pacific's stronger attack ratings qualify that edge.
• Pacific's attack rating and away scoring average exceed Supra's, but their weak defence and poor head-to-head record offset that threat.
• Both teams' goal distributions cluster late, so Pacific's heavy late concessions suggest Supra can exploit the closing stages.
• Supra's recent five-match run of four defeats tempers confidence, though Pacific's own form is similarly inconsistent.
• The near-even Poisson split and low away win probability indicate a draw is a genuine outcome, justifying the double-chance cover.

Predicted winner

Supra du Quebec

Betting advice

Double chance : Supra du Quebec or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pacific FC 1–2 Supra du Quebec (01 Aug 2026)
2. Supra du Quebec 1–1 Pacific FC (07 Jun 2026)
3. Pacific FC 2–3 Supra du Quebec (12 Apr 2026)