Denmark · 3. Division

Sundby vs Vanløse Prediction

Sundby badgeSundby vs Vanløse badgeVanløse

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since Vanløse's 10% away share is the clear outlier.
  • Sundby's perfect home record without defeat supports the advice, though their five away losses show the venue dependence behind that split.
  • Vanløse's single defeat and unbeaten away form qualify the pick, since their resilience makes a draw the likelier failure mode than an away win.
  • Sundby's superior home defence and Poisson edge align with the head-to-head record, where they won both meetings at their own ground.
  • Both attacks score in nearly every match, so the low-scoring recent meetings suggest the draw component carries real weight.
  • Vanløse's stronger away scoring and Sundby's leaky away defence explain why the model splits home and draw evenly rather than favouring a home win.
Predicted winner
Sundby
Betting advice
Double chance : Sundby or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSundbyVanløse
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson58.0%42.0%
H2h67.0%33.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total54.2%45.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Sundby

Recent form: LLLDLWLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Vanløse

Recent form: DWLWDWWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sundby 1–0 Vanløse (06 Apr 2026)
  2. Sundby 3–2 Vanløse (02 Sep 2025)
  3. Vanløse 3–0 Sundby (29 Aug 2025)
Loading interactive prediction…