Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie F

Šumperk vs Bílovec Prediction

Šumperk badgeŠumperk vs Bílovec badgeBílovec

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double chance advice, since Bílovec's 10% away probability is the clear outlier.
  • Šumperk's attack rating of 80 versus Bílovec's 20 supports the home side's edge, though the equal 50 form ratings temper that advantage.
  • Bílovec's head-to-head 80% and Šumperk's 20% conflict with the home-favoured prediction, suggesting the model weights current-season attack over historical results.
  • Šumperk's 2.30 home goals-against average against Bílovec's 0.50 scoring average points to a low-scoring home win rather than a comfortable one.
  • Bílovec's four failed-to-score matches and one win in eight games explain why the draw carries equal weight to a home victory.
  • Both sides' recent form is poor, with Šumperk losing three of five and Bílovec four of five, so the draw component of the advice is well supported.
Predicted winner
Šumperk
Betting advice
Double chance : Šumperk or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorŠumperkBílovec
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total51.5%48.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Šumperk

Recent form: WDLWLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Bílovec

Recent form: DLLLLWLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bílovec 4–4 Šumperk (29 Mar 2026)
  2. Šumperk 1–1 Bílovec (24 Aug 2025)
  3. Šumperk 1–2 Bílovec (14 Jun 2024)
  4. Bílovec 1–0 Šumperk (12 Nov 2023)
Loading interactive prediction…