Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie F
Šumperk vs Bílovec Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double chance advice, since Bílovec's 10% away probability is the clear outlier.
- Šumperk's attack rating of 80 versus Bílovec's 20 supports the home side's edge, though the equal 50 form ratings temper that advantage.
- Bílovec's head-to-head 80% and Šumperk's 20% conflict with the home-favoured prediction, suggesting the model weights current-season attack over historical results.
- Šumperk's 2.30 home goals-against average against Bílovec's 0.50 scoring average points to a low-scoring home win rather than a comfortable one.
- Bílovec's four failed-to-score matches and one win in eight games explain why the draw carries equal weight to a home victory.
- Both sides' recent form is poor, with Šumperk losing three of five and Bílovec four of five, so the draw component of the advice is well supported.
- Predicted winner
- Šumperk
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Šumperk or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Šumperk | Bílovec |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Šumperk
Recent form: WDLWLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Bílovec
Recent form: DLLLLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bílovec 4–4 Šumperk (29 Mar 2026)
- Šumperk 1–1 Bílovec (24 Aug 2025)
- Šumperk 1–2 Bílovec (14 Jun 2024)
- Bílovec 1–0 Šumperk (12 Nov 2023)


