Suhareka vs Trepça Mitrovicë Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to a Suhareka win, but the 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice is far from decisive and the 10% away share frames Trepça Mitrovicë as a clear outsider. The comparison metrics reinforce that lean without making it comfortable: form is level at 50.00 each, while Suhareka's attack (75.00) and defence (44.00) both outrank Trepça's (25.00 and 56.00), and the Poisson, head-to-head and goals splits all sit at 100.00 versus 0.00 in Suhareka's favour. That apparent dominance is qualified by the total comparison, where Suhareka's 63.80 against Trepça's 36.30 is a meaningful but not overwhelming edge, and by the fact that both teams have identical six-game records of two wins, two draws and two losses. The home side's record is sharply venue-dependent, with two wins and a draw at home against no defeats, including a 5-0 win, but two away losses and only three away goals; Trepça show the mirror problem, taking two home wins and a draw but losing both away games and scoring zero goals on the road. The goals analysis sharpens this: Suhareka average 2.70 at home and concede 0.70 there, whereas Trepça average 0.00 away and concede 2.50, and Trepça have failed to score in three of six matches compared with one for Suhareka. Recent form is similarly mixed, as Suhareka's last five produced two draws, two defeats and one win, while Trepça's brought two draws, two defeats and a 1-0 win over Tefik Canga, so neither side arrives in convincing rhythm. The head-to-head record is the smallest sample but the most one-sided, with Suhareka winning 2-1 at home in March 2026 and 2-0 in the 2023 cup, while Trepça's only success was a 2-0 away win in September 2025, which is enough to show the fixture is not automatically a home formality. Overall, the evidence coheres around a Suhareka advantage built on home scoring and Trepça's away impotence, but the equal form, the level 45% draw probability and Trepça's clean-sheet habit suggest the win carries real uncertainty rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Predicted winner

Suhareka

Betting advice

Winner : Suhareka

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Suhareka 2–1 Trepça Mitrovicë (22 Mar 2026)
2. Trepça Mitrovicë 0–2 Suhareka (20 Sep 2025)
3. Suhareka 2–0 Trepça Mitrovicë (07 Dec 2023)