Sudtirol vs Wacker Innsbruck Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits draw and Wacker Innsbruck evenly at 45% each, leaving Sudtirol only 10%, so the double-chance advice reflects a two-outcome race rather than a clear away edge.
- Wacker's superior form and attack ratings align with the away lean, but Sudtirol's perfect defensive record and clean sheets in both matches qualify that advantage.
- Sudtirol's low-scoring profile, averaging half a goal while conceding none, supports the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Wacker's goals data shows five of six matches under 3.5 and no match exceeding that line, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation.
- The lone head-to-head, a 2020 Wacker home win, is too small a sample to carry weight but does not contradict the away-side lean.
- Sudtirol's recent form includes a four-goal away win, showing the attack can surprise despite the modest goal averages.
- Predicted winner
- Wacker Innsbruck
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Wacker Innsbruck and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sudtirol | Wacker Innsbruck |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Attack | 10.0% | 90.0% |
| Defence | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 24.7% | 75.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sudtirol
Recent form: DW.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Wacker Innsbruck
Recent form: WWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Wacker Innsbruck 2–1 Sudtirol (04 Sep 2020)