Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear superiority.
- Sturm Graz's perfect head-to-head record and stronger attack metrics support their inclusion, but the single meeting is a small sample.
- Floridsdorfer's away form is actually better than their home form, with all three wins coming on the road, which qualifies the home-favouritism.
- Both teams' recent matches show goals are common, supporting the +1.5 goals component despite Sturm's occasional low-scoring draws.
- Sturm's defensive numbers are only marginally better than Floridsdorfer's, explaining why the draw probability matches the home win.
- Floridsdorfer's failure to score in nearly half their matches weakens their away threat, reinforcing the double-chance selection.
- Predicted winner
- Sturm Graz
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sturm Graz | Floridsdorfer AC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Total | 62.4% | 37.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sturm Graz
Recent form: DDDWLDWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.
Floridsdorfer AC
Recent form: LLLWDLLWDWL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sturm Graz 4–1 Floridsdorfer AC (13 Oct 2023)