Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli Prediction
· Hristo Radovanov Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities show Strumska Slava is favoured but not dominant, so the combo advice carries real draw risk.
- Strumska Slava's perfect home record with five wins and no defeats, including three clean sheets, supports the home-win leg of the advice.
- Septemvri Simitli's away form is poor with no clean sheets and 2.30 goals conceded per away game, strengthening the +1.5 goals expectation.
- The head-to-head record is mixed, with both recent meetings ending 3-2, suggesting goals are likely even if the winner is uncertain.
- Strumska Slava's 2.40 home goals per game and Septemvri Simitli's 1.90 goals conceded average point toward the +1.5 goals leg being comfortably met.
- Septemvri Simitli's recent form of three straight losses and no away clean sheets weakens their chances, but the 45% draw probability keeps the home win uncertain.
- Predicted winner
- Strumska Slava
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Strumska Slava and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Total | 68.8% | 31.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Strumska Slava
Recent form: WDWWWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Septemvri Simitli
Recent form: WWDLDDLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Septemvri Simitli 3–2 Strumska Slava (16 Apr 2026)
- Strumska Slava 3–2 Septemvri Simitli (04 Oct 2025)
- Strumska Slava 0–1 Septemvri Simitli (02 Apr 2022)
- Septemvri Simitli 1–3 Strumska Slava (17 Sep 2021)
- Strumska Slava 2–0 Septemvri Simitli (10 Mar 2021)


