Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest

Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli Prediction

· Hristo Radovanov Stadium

Strumska Slava badgeStrumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli badgeSeptemvri Simitli

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities show Strumska Slava is favoured but not dominant, so the combo advice carries real draw risk.
  • Strumska Slava's perfect home record with five wins and no defeats, including three clean sheets, supports the home-win leg of the advice.
  • Septemvri Simitli's away form is poor with no clean sheets and 2.30 goals conceded per away game, strengthening the +1.5 goals expectation.
  • The head-to-head record is mixed, with both recent meetings ending 3-2, suggesting goals are likely even if the winner is uncertain.
  • Strumska Slava's 2.40 home goals per game and Septemvri Simitli's 1.90 goals conceded average point toward the +1.5 goals leg being comfortably met.
  • Septemvri Simitli's recent form of three straight losses and no away clean sheets weakens their chances, but the 45% draw probability keeps the home win uncertain.
Predicted winner
Strumska Slava
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Strumska Slava and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorStrumska SlavaSeptemvri Simitli
Form82.0%18.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson88.0%12.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals59.0%41.0%
Total68.8%31.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Strumska Slava

Recent form: WDWWWLWLW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Septemvri Simitli

Recent form: WWDLDDLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Septemvri Simitli 3–2 Strumska Slava (16 Apr 2026)
  2. Strumska Slava 3–2 Septemvri Simitli (04 Oct 2025)
  3. Strumska Slava 0–1 Septemvri Simitli (02 Apr 2022)
  4. Septemvri Simitli 1–3 Strumska Slava (17 Sep 2021)
  5. Strumska Slava 2–0 Septemvri Simitli (10 Mar 2021)
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